Copa Gaúcha 1ª Fase. Jor. 5

Pelotas vs Grêmio B analysis

Pelotas Grêmio B
42 ELO 47
-15.6% Tilt -21.8%
5376º General ELO ranking 36590º
217º Country ELO ranking 1065º
ELO win probability
29.9%
Pelotas
24%
Draw
46.1%
Grêmio B

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.9%
Win probability
Pelotas
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
46.1%
Win probability
Grêmio B
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Pelotas
-7%
+4%
Grêmio B

ELO progression

Pelotas
Grêmio B
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Pelotas
Pelotas
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Aug. 2023
RSC
Real SC
0 - 2
Pelotas
PEL
19%
21%
60%
43 23 20 0
13 Aug. 2023
BOR
São Borja
1 - 0
Pelotas
PEL
16%
22%
63%
45 26 19 -2
09 Aug. 2023
PEL
Pelotas
2 - 0
São Borja
BOR
63%
21%
16%
45 27 18 0
02 Aug. 2023
PEL
Pelotas
3 - 0
Real SC
RSC
67%
20%
13%
44 24 20 +1
30 Jul. 2023
MON
Monsoon
2 - 0
Pelotas
PEL
36%
25%
38%
46 43 3 -2

Matches

Grêmio B
Grêmio B
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Aug. 2023
GRE
Grêmio B
2 - 2
Novo Hamburgo
NOV
41%
24%
36%
46 49 3 0
03 Aug. 2023
NOV
Novo Hamburgo
1 - 0
Grêmio B
GRE
46%
23%
31%
47 48 1 -1
05 Jul. 2023
GRE
Grêmio B
1 - 0
Pelotas
PEL
50%
23%
27%
46 45 1 +1
25 Jun. 2023
BOR
São Borja
0 - 2
Grêmio B
GRE
13%
19%
68%
46 28 18 0
22 Jun. 2023
GRE
Grêmio B
4 - 0
Real SC
RSC
74%
16%
10%
46 25 21 0
X