Pelister vs Karaorman Struga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.5%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
9.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-44%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
70
1º
5º
2º
15
10º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
77 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pelister
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
VLA
0 - 4
PEL
33%
24%
43%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
KGE
3 - 2
PEL
27%
27%
46%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
PEL
0 - 0
DEP
51%
24%
25%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
SAS
0 - 3
PEL
15%
23%
63%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
PEL
4 - 0
NOV
83%
13%
5%
|
53 | 31 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Karaorman Struga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
KAR
0 - 6
ARE
37%
26%
38%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
FKS
2 - 1
KAR
59%
22%
19%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
OHR
1 - 0
KAR
50%
24%
27%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
KAR
2 - 0
VAN
71%
17%
13%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
KGE
3 - 0
KAR
45%
25%
30%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -2 |