PEL vs KPT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
24.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PEL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
BAL
3 - 0
PEL
42%
27%
31%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2011 |
PEL
1 - 4
MUS
46%
25%
29%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2011 |
MUS
3 - 0
PEL
48%
25%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2011 |
NAT
4 - 1
PEL
55%
23%
22%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
PIA
3 - 0
PEL
53%
23%
24%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
KPT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2011 |
NAT
0 - 2
KPT
56%
23%
21%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2011 |
KPT
1 - 1
KEL
54%
23%
23%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2011 |
HAB
1 - 0
KPT
49%
25%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
KPT
2 - 3
HAB
56%
23%
21%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
KPT
3 - 1
PAP
52%
23%
25%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +2 |