Pego vs Simat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.3%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
26.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
REA
1 - 3
PEG
13%
20%
67%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
PEG
2 - 1
OCF
52%
22%
26%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
PEG
0 - 0
BEN
49%
23%
28%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
CTS
4 - 1
PEG
31%
24%
45%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
PEG
3 - 0
GOR
48%
23%
29%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Simat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
SIM
1 - 2
BEN
17%
19%
64%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
ORB
3 - 0
SIM
46%
21%
32%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
SIM
2 - 1
CDL
75%
14%
11%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
REA
0 - 3
SIM
10%
16%
74%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
SIM
1 - 2
OCF
67%
17%
16%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | -1 |