Pego vs Muro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.1%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
15.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
+331%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
UDC
0 - 1
PEG
42%
25%
34%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
PEG
0 - 3
ALG
59%
22%
20%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -2 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
UEG
1 - 3
PEG
25%
24%
52%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
PEG
1 - 1
UDC
80%
14%
6%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | -2 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
UDO
1 - 0
PEG
13%
19%
68%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Muro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
ALG
1 - 0
MUR
61%
20%
19%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
MUR
3 - 1
UDC
63%
20%
16%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
POR
0 - 1
MUR
19%
22%
60%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
MUR
3 - 1
RAF
24%
23%
53%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | +2 |
| 01 Aug. 2018 |
MUR
0 - 2
ONT
13%
21%
66%
|
20 | 50 | 30 | -1 |