Pego vs Ilicitano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
47.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
ELD
2 - 2
PEG
60%
23%
18%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
PEG
0 - 3
BEN
29%
30%
41%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2002 |
PEG
0 - 1
VIN
47%
26%
27%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
JUV
3 - 0
PEG
18%
23%
59%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | -3 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
PEG
1 - 0
OND
28%
26%
46%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Ilicitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
ELC
2 - 2
JUV
74%
16%
10%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
OND
0 - 0
ELC
56%
22%
22%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2002 |
ELC
0 - 1
ALZ
70%
19%
11%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
TOR
0 - 3
ELC
35%
25%
41%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
ELC
5 - 0
CAS
67%
20%
13%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | +1 |