Pego vs Dénia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.1%
1-0
5%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.4%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.7%
68.3%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
15.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.4%
0-2
14.8%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
CAN
2 - 1
PEG
33%
26%
41%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
PEG
1 - 2
UDC
13%
22%
66%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
JAV
3 - 0
PEG
73%
18%
9%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
PEG
0 - 1
ALC
53%
25%
23%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
POR
0 - 1
PEG
79%
13%
8%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Dénia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
DEN
1 - 1
CDA
77%
16%
7%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
UDC
0 - 0
DEN
39%
26%
36%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
DEN
3 - 1
CAL
55%
22%
23%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
OLI
1 - 2
DEN
11%
17%
73%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
DEN
2 - 0
CTS
61%
23%
17%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |