Pego vs Xeraco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
25.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
POR
2 - 2
PEG
38%
26%
36%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
ALT
2 - 1
PEG
75%
15%
10%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
PEG
3 - 2
BEL
59%
21%
20%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
RAC
0 - 0
PEG
34%
24%
41%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
PEG
1 - 1
DAI
47%
24%
29%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Xeraco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
ALF
2 - 2
XER
72%
16%
12%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
BEN
0 - 2
XER
74%
15%
10%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | +2 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
XER
1 - 0
POL
12%
19%
69%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
OLI
2 - 2
XER
81%
12%
7%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
XER
1 - 2
POR
35%
25%
41%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |