Pego vs Univ. Alicante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
37.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-54%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
SFF
0 - 0
PEG
19%
22%
60%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
PEG
2 - 0
GAN
12%
18%
71%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | +2 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
PEG
0 - 1
UDC
16%
22%
62%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
LAL
3 - 1
PEG
62%
21%
17%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
PEG
2 - 2
POR
45%
24%
31%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Alicante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
UNI
1 - 3
POR
60%
21%
19%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
CAL
0 - 0
UNI
46%
23%
31%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
ELD
1 - 1
UNI
38%
26%
36%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
UNI
5 - 1
MUR
66%
19%
15%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
IND
3 - 0
UNI
65%
19%
16%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | -1 |