Pego vs Contestano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
33.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
SPO
0 - 0
PEG
66%
18%
15%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
PEG
1 - 1
PRO
27%
26%
47%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
ALB
1 - 0
PEG
71%
18%
12%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
UEM
5 - 1
PEG
70%
16%
14%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -2 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
PEG
0 - 2
SPO
38%
24%
38%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Contestano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
CTS
0 - 1
FON
43%
23%
35%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
MAS
1 - 0
CTS
59%
21%
20%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
CTS
0 - 4
LLX
21%
21%
58%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
CTS
2 - 2
CUL
64%
18%
18%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
ALB
1 - 0
CTS
53%
23%
24%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |