Pego vs Aspense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
+3
8.9%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
17.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.5%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25.3%
15.3%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1992 |
JAV
2 - 1
PEG
68%
20%
11%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1992 |
PEG
1 - 1
VIJ
47%
28%
25%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1992 |
ELC
2 - 2
PEG
65%
22%
14%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1992 |
PEG
3 - 0
OLI
18%
26%
56%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | +3 |
| 19 Jan. 1992 |
PIN
0 - 0
PEG
71%
20%
9%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Aspense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1992 |
ASP
1 - 0
CAN
51%
27%
22%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1992 |
MON
0 - 0
ASP
28%
30%
42%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1992 |
ASP
2 - 2
CAL
29%
29%
42%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 1992 |
ASP
1 - 1
JAV
26%
30%
45%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1992 |
VIJ
3 - 2
ASP
74%
18%
8%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |