Pego vs Buñol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
21.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
BUR
3 - 1
PEG
46%
28%
26%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
PEG
4 - 1
CAS
38%
28%
34%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +2 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
CPO
3 - 1
PEG
35%
29%
36%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | -2 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
PEG
2 - 1
GAN
52%
26%
22%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
TCF
0 - 0
PEG
41%
26%
33%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Buñol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
BUÑ
3 - 1
DEN
28%
26%
46%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
VCF
1 - 0
BUÑ
65%
20%
15%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
BUÑ
1 - 3
ELD
32%
25%
43%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -2 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
VIL
2 - 2
BUÑ
76%
15%
8%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
BUÑ
4 - 0
SPO
27%
27%
46%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | +3 |