Pego vs Alberic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
59.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
PEG
1 - 3
MUR
16%
21%
63%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
RAC
2 - 1
PEG
67%
19%
14%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
PEG
0 - 1
CAN
62%
20%
18%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
PEG
0 - 1
UEM
55%
21%
23%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
FON
2 - 1
PEG
64%
20%
17%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Alberic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
FON
0 - 2
ALB
44%
25%
31%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
ALB
1 - 1
MAS
44%
23%
32%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
LLX
0 - 1
ALB
62%
20%
17%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
ALB
5 - 3
POR
49%
24%
27%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
RAF
1 - 4
ALB
42%
24%
34%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | +1 |