Pego vs Alberic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
55.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+100%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
BEN
4 - 1
PEG
64%
21%
16%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
PEG
0 - 3
MUR
39%
26%
35%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
CDT
2 - 1
PEG
43%
25%
32%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
PEG
1 - 2
RAC
31%
25%
44%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
BEN
3 - 2
PEG
30%
24%
46%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Alberic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
ALB
4 - 2
LLO
65%
20%
14%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
ALB
1 - 0
ENG
74%
17%
9%
|
29 | 15 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
BEN
0 - 1
ALB
42%
26%
33%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
ALB
0 - 0
MUR
55%
23%
22%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
CDT
0 - 1
ALB
27%
25%
48%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |