Pego vs CD Acero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
13.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1961 |
CUL
1 - 1
PEG
77%
14%
10%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1961 |
POR
0 - 1
PEG
54%
21%
25%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 1961 |
SDS
1 - 1
PEG
82%
11%
7%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1961 |
PEG
1 - 1
OLI
38%
24%
38%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1961 |
CAS
7 - 1
PEG
83%
11%
6%
|
28 | 49 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
CD Acero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1961 |
ACE
0 - 2
GAN
32%
25%
44%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1961 |
ACE
2 - 0
SAG
41%
23%
36%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +2 |
| 29 Nov. 1961 |
OLI
3 - 0
ACE
72%
16%
13%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 1961 |
SDS
5 - 3
ACE
82%
11%
7%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 1961 |
ACE
3 - 1
ONT
36%
25%
39%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | +3 |