Pécsi MFC vs FC Dunafoldvar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
18.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-73%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
60
1º
6º
5º
7
15º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
62 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
60 | 60 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
93.5% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
93.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 23 |
12º
|
90.5% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 21 |
13º
|
77.5% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
14º
|
22.5% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
|
16º
|
7 | 8 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pécsi MFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
VUK
3 - 1
PEC
72%
18%
11%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
KAP
1 - 0
PEC
34%
25%
41%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
PEC
5 - 1
PTE
64%
22%
14%
|
51 | 31 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
SZE
6 - 1
PEC
59%
22%
20%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
PEC
1 - 1
SZE
18%
29%
53%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
FC Dunafoldvar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
DAB
4 - 2
FCD
25%
20%
54%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
MTK
2 - 1
FCD
41%
22%
37%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
FCD
6 - 1
MSE
65%
18%
17%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
FER
4 - 0
FCD
47%
22%
31%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -2 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
FCD
3 - 2
SZE
62%
20%
18%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +1 |