Paysandu vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
31.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
PAY
1 - 0
CRI
40%
28%
32%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
LON
2 - 0
PAY
56%
25%
19%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2017 |
LUV
1 - 1
PAY
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
PAY
0 - 0
CRB
46%
27%
27%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
BOA
1 - 2
PAY
42%
28%
30%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2017 |
PAR
1 - 0
VIL
52%
27%
21%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
VIL
0 - 0
OES
43%
28%
29%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2017 |
CRI
0 - 1
VIL
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
VIL
0 - 0
GOI
40%
27%
32%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2017 |
CEA
2 - 0
VIL
49%
27%
24%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |