Paysandu vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
17%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
PAY
3 - 2
ABC
63%
22%
15%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
PAR
1 - 1
PAY
40%
29%
32%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 2
PAY
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
PAY
3 - 0
BOA
57%
24%
19%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2015 |
CEA
0 - 0
PAY
57%
23%
20%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
NAU
1 - 1
ATL
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
AMF
2 - 1
NAU
64%
22%
14%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
CEA
1 - 0
NAU
63%
21%
16%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
NAU
1 - 1
SAM
39%
27%
34%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2015 |
CRI
1 - 0
NAU
52%
26%
22%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |