Paysandu vs Luverdense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
25.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2015 |
MOG
1 - 1
PAY
27%
26%
46%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2015 |
AMF
3 - 1
PAY
60%
23%
17%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
PAY
5 - 1
CRB
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
SAM
2 - 0
PAY
50%
25%
25%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -2 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
PAY
1 - 1
MAC
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Luverdense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2015 |
LUV
0 - 1
BOT
29%
28%
43%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
LUV
2 - 0
BOA
63%
22%
15%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
OES
1 - 0
LUV
40%
29%
31%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
BRA
3 - 2
LUV
43%
28%
29%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
LUV
2 - 0
CRB
53%
26%
22%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |