Paulton Rovers vs Stourport Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
13.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paulton Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2005 |
CLE
2 - 2
PAU
47%
23%
30%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2005 |
PAU
1 - 4
YAT
46%
24%
30%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 2004 |
CIN
0 - 2
PAU
41%
24%
35%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2004 |
PAU
0 - 1
COR
54%
23%
23%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
ROT
0 - 1
PAU
48%
23%
29%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Stourport Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2005 |
STO
1 - 2
ASH
37%
24%
38%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2005 |
STO
2 - 1
BRO
25%
24%
51%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | +2 |
| 01 Jan. 2005 |
MAN
2 - 1
STO
71%
18%
12%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2004 |
STO
0 - 2
EVE
28%
24%
47%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2004 |
BRA
1 - 0
STO
76%
15%
9%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | 0 |