Paulista vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.9%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
63.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
15.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.7%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paulista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
BOT
2 - 1
PAU
41%
25%
34%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2011 |
PAU
0 - 2
ATP
22%
24%
54%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
GUA
0 - 2
PAU
50%
24%
26%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2011 |
PAU
1 - 0
OES
48%
25%
27%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
BRA
0 - 1
PAU
63%
20%
17%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
GRÊ
0 - 1
SAO
16%
23%
61%
|
86 | 62 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
SAO
3 - 0
SAN
74%
16%
9%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2011 |
SAO
2 - 0
ITU
82%
13%
5%
|
85 | 57 | 28 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
SAO
0 - 2
SAO
17%
24%
59%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
SAO
1 - 1
PAL
57%
24%
19%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |