Paulista vs Rio Branco SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
37.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paulista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
ITU
2 - 1
PAU
66%
21%
13%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
PAU
2 - 0
SAO
24%
24%
52%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
PRI
1 - 0
PAU
25%
25%
50%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
PAU
1 - 0
GRÊ
68%
20%
12%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
PAU
2 - 4
ITU
22%
25%
53%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Rio Branco SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
XVD
0 - 0
RIO
56%
23%
21%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
RIO
3 - 0
IND
50%
25%
25%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 1
RIO
42%
26%
33%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
RIO
2 - 1
XVD
32%
27%
41%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
IND
2 - 2
RIO
39%
27%
34%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |