Série B Brazil Round 10

Paulista vs Náutico analysis

Paulista Náutico
72 ELO 65
-0.5% Tilt 3.7%
6865º General ELO ranking 1263º
292º Country ELO ranking 54º
ELO win probability
56.6%
Paulista
23.7%
Draw
19.7%
Náutico

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.6%
Win probability
Paulista
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
19.7%
Win probability
Náutico
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Paulista
Náutico
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Paulista
Paulista
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 May. 2006
VIL
Vila Nova
2 - 1
Paulista
PAU
34%
27%
39%
72 64 8 0
26 May. 2006
PAU
Paulista
0 - 1
Avaí
AVA
66%
21%
13%
73 61 12 -1
23 May. 2006
GUA
Guaraní
3 - 1
Paulista
PAU
31%
28%
41%
74 66 8 -1
16 May. 2006
PAU
Paulista
1 - 1
Marília
MAR
64%
21%
15%
74 64 10 0
09 May. 2006
CEA
Ceará
0 - 2
Paulista
PAU
45%
26%
30%
73 70 3 +1

Matches

Náutico
Náutico
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 May. 2006
CRB
CRB
1 - 2
Náutico
NAU
37%
27%
36%
65 60 5 0
27 May. 2006
NAU
Náutico
2 - 0
Portuguesa
POR
63%
21%
16%
65 62 3 0
23 May. 2006
REM
Remo
0 - 0
Náutico
NAU
43%
25%
32%
65 60 5 0
20 May. 2006
NAU
Náutico
2 - 1
Ceará
CEA
49%
24%
26%
64 69 5 +1
12 May. 2006
NAU
Náutico
2 - 3
Vila Nova
VIL
58%
22%
20%
65 64 1 -1