Paulista B Eliminatorias Semi-finals
Global 4-0
Paulista vs Inter de Bebedouro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
22.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paulista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
FLA
0 - 0
PAU
36%
26%
37%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
PAU
2 - 1
FLA
54%
23%
23%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
PAU
1 - 2
BEB
57%
22%
21%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
MAN
0 - 3
PAU
20%
24%
56%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
ECU
1 - 2
PAU
25%
22%
54%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Inter de Bebedouro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
BEB
1 - 1
TAN
56%
23%
21%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
TAN
0 - 0
BEB
23%
25%
53%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
PAU
1 - 2
BEB
57%
22%
21%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
BEB
1 - 1
ECU
60%
21%
19%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
BEB
3 - 2
MAN
63%
21%
16%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |