Paulista vs ECUS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.7%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
17%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
13.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+289%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paulista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
BAR
0 - 5
PAU
14%
23%
63%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
PAU
2 - 3
FLA
59%
22%
19%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
COL
1 - 0
PAU
24%
22%
54%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | -2 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
PAU
1 - 0
SAO
65%
20%
15%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
PAU
6 - 0
BAR
77%
15%
8%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
ECUS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
MOG
0 - 1
ECU
33%
21%
46%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
ECU
0 - 2
MFC
32%
23%
46%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
ECU
2 - 0
UNI
36%
22%
42%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
MAU
1 - 1
ECU
55%
21%
24%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
ECU
3 - 0
MAN
33%
22%
45%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |