Paulista vs Corinthians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
61.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paulista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
PAU
4 - 1
GUA
55%
22%
23%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2009 |
MOG
2 - 1
PAU
35%
25%
41%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
PPE
2 - 0
PAU
61%
21%
18%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2009 |
PAU
2 - 0
NOR
61%
20%
19%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2008 |
PAU
0 - 0
DUQ
72%
18%
11%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
COR
4 - 1
OES
88%
9%
3%
|
82 | 55 | 27 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2009 |
COR
2 - 0
BOT
79%
15%
7%
|
82 | 57 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
BRA
0 - 1
COR
18%
24%
58%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2009 |
COR
2 - 2
GRÊ
71%
19%
11%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
ARN
2 - 0
COR
17%
24%
58%
|
83 | 60 | 23 | -1 |