Paulista vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
31.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paulista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2002 |
SAN
2 - 2
PAU
69%
18%
13%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2002 |
PAU
3 - 0
AMF
26%
25%
49%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2002 |
PAU
1 - 0
SAO
63%
21%
16%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2002 |
AME
1 - 1
PAU
58%
23%
20%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2002 |
REM
2 - 0
PAU
70%
18%
12%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2002 |
FOR
1 - 1
CAX
68%
20%
12%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
CAX
0 - 0
NAU
42%
26%
32%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2002 |
CRB
1 - 0
CAX
53%
24%
23%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
SAM
1 - 0
CAX
35%
25%
39%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2002 |
CAX
1 - 0
SPO
21%
26%
53%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |