Série B Brazil Round 11

Paulista vs Caxias do Sul analysis

Paulista Caxias do Sul
62 ELO 63
-2.8% Tilt -4.5%
6865º General ELO ranking 1520º
292º Country ELO ranking 55º
ELO win probability
43.2%
Paulista
25.2%
Draw
31.6%
Caxias do Sul

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.2%
Win probability
Paulista
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
31.7%
Win probability
Caxias do Sul
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Paulista
Caxias do Sul
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Paulista
Paulista
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Sep. 2002
SAN
Santa Cruz
2 - 2
Paulista
PAU
69%
18%
13%
61 70 9 0
13 Sep. 2002
PAU
Paulista
3 - 0
América Mineiro
AMF
26%
25%
49%
60 72 12 +1
10 Sep. 2002
PAU
Paulista
1 - 0
São Raimundo AM
SAO
63%
21%
16%
59 50 9 +1
07 Sep. 2002
AME
América RJ
1 - 1
Paulista
PAU
58%
23%
20%
59 62 3 0
04 Sep. 2002
REM
Remo
2 - 0
Paulista
PAU
70%
18%
12%
60 68 8 -1

Matches

Caxias do Sul
Caxias do Sul
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Sep. 2002
FOR
Fortaleza EC
1 - 1
Caxias do Sul
CAX
68%
20%
12%
63 73 10 0
14 Sep. 2002
CAX
Caxias do Sul
0 - 0
Náutico
NAU
42%
26%
32%
63 67 4 0
11 Sep. 2002
CRB
CRB
1 - 0
Caxias do Sul
CAX
53%
24%
23%
64 67 3 -1
08 Sep. 2002
SAM
Sampaio Correa
1 - 0
Caxias do Sul
CAX
35%
25%
39%
64 59 5 0
03 Sep. 2002
CAX
Caxias do Sul
1 - 0
Sport Recife
SPO
21%
26%
53%
64 78 14 0