Pau FC vs Tarbes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
16%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pau FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
BAY
0 - 1
PAU
24%
26%
50%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
PAU
2 - 0
LIM
73%
18%
9%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
STA
0 - 0
PAU
47%
25%
28%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
PAU
0 - 0
PON
72%
18%
10%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
LOR
3 - 1
PAU
43%
25%
32%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Tarbes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
TAR
1 - 2
NIC
41%
27%
33%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
TRE
3 - 0
TAR
54%
24%
23%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
TAR
1 - 2
MON
47%
26%
27%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
FON
0 - 0
TAR
31%
26%
43%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2015 |
TAR
2 - 1
VIT
44%
26%
31%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |