Pau FC II vs Girondins Bordeaux II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
10.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+46%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
3º
13º
7º
22
13º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 37 |
3º
|
42% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 37 |
4º
|
13.5% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 37 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
34% | |
|
|
9º
|
32 | 34 |
7º
|
16% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 34 |
8º
|
26.5% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
54% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 32 |
10º
|
38% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 30 |
11º
|
52.5% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 29 |
12º
|
68.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
22 | 24 |
13º
|
56% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 23 |
14º
|
56% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pau FC II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
FCP
3 - 2
TRE
48%
24%
28%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
BLA
3 - 1
FCP
40%
27%
33%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
FCP
4 - 2
ONE
53%
23%
25%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
CRF
1 - 0
FCP
40%
27%
33%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
FCP
1 - 1
BAY
53%
24%
23%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Girondins Bordeaux II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
TOU
1 - 1
GDB
76%
15%
9%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
GDB
0 - 0
TRE
19%
22%
59%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
CAS
2 - 2
GDB
71%
19%
11%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
GDB
0 - 2
BLA
24%
28%
48%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
LEG
1 - 0
GDB
54%
22%
24%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |