Patronato vs Atl. Tucumán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
31.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Patronato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
ALD
1 - 0
PAT
48%
27%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
PAT
2 - 1
HUR
48%
25%
27%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
FER
1 - 1
PAT
45%
29%
26%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
PAT
1 - 0
MER
52%
26%
22%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2011 |
QUI
1 - 1
PAT
61%
24%
15%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. Tucumán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2011 |
ATT
3 - 2
EST
62%
22%
17%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
ATT
2 - 1
CEN
40%
28%
32%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
RIV
0 - 2
ATT
67%
20%
13%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
ALD
0 - 0
ATT
46%
27%
28%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
ATT
2 - 0
HUR
47%
26%
27%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |