Patrocinense vs Mamoré analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
57.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Patrocinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2017 |
ARA
1 - 1
PAT
48%
25%
27%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2017 |
BOA
2 - 2
PAT
77%
16%
7%
|
37 | 61 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
PAT
1 - 0
USC
20%
23%
56%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | +2 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
USC
1 - 1
PAT
71%
19%
11%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
PAT
4 - 3
FEC
29%
25%
45%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Mamoré
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2017 |
MAM
1 - 0
CAP
69%
19%
13%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
ARA
2 - 2
MAM
31%
26%
43%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
USC
2 - 2
MAM
45%
26%
29%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
MAM
5 - 1
NAC
52%
24%
24%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2016 |
MAM
2 - 0
CAP
64%
21%
16%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |