Patriotas Boyacá vs Real Cundinamarca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
21.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Patriotas Boyacá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
PAT
2 - 1
REA
41%
26%
33%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2011 |
AFC
0 - 0
PAT
25%
28%
47%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
CEN
2 - 1
PAT
49%
26%
26%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
PAT
1 - 2
TFC
57%
25%
19%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2011 |
BAR
1 - 0
PAT
16%
26%
58%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Real Cundinamarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2011 |
RSC
3 - 0
RIO
32%
27%
41%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
BOG
3 - 0
RSC
44%
28%
28%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
RSC
3 - 1
PAC
50%
28%
23%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
ALI
0 - 1
RSC
41%
28%
30%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
RSC
2 - 0
BAR
61%
24%
14%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |