Partick Thistle vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.4%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
61.8%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Partick Thistle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2019 |
DUN
3 - 0
PAR
48%
26%
26%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
PAR
2 - 4
ROS
28%
26%
46%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
ALL
0 - 2
PAR
41%
28%
31%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
EAS
0 - 1
PAR
47%
24%
29%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
ICT
1 - 2
PAR
65%
21%
14%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2019 |
HOM
1 - 2
CEL
14%
22%
64%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
HOM
1 - 1
STM
66%
21%
14%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
MHE
2 - 1
HOM
40%
27%
33%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
HOM
4 - 0
AUC
81%
13%
6%
|
74 | 50 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2019 |
HOM
0 - 0
LIV
57%
23%
19%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |