Parramatta Power vs NZ Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
26.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parramatta Power
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2001 |
EPR
2 - 1
PAP
36%
26%
38%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2001 |
PAP
3 - 1
SYD
36%
25%
39%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2001 |
SYD
2 - 1
PAP
35%
27%
39%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2001 |
PAP
0 - 3
SOU
38%
25%
38%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2001 |
SOU
5 - 1
PAP
66%
19%
15%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
NZ Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2001 |
NZK
3 - 2
BRI
52%
24%
24%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2001 |
MEL
2 - 2
NZK
54%
23%
23%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2001 |
NZK
1 - 0
MAR
40%
25%
35%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2001 |
CSC
0 - 3
NZK
39%
25%
36%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2001 |
NZK
3 - 3
PER
34%
25%
41%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |