Parndorf vs St. Margarethen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.9%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.1%
9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
2º
9º
3º
48
4º
14º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 78 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 65 |
2º
|
67% | |
|
|
2º
|
56 | 59 |
3º
|
68.5% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
4º
|
69.5% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 50 |
5º
|
58.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
48 | 49 |
6º
|
69% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
70% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
71% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 37 |
9º
|
85% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 33 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
38% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 33 |
12º
|
28% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
80.5% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
95% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
15º
|
68.5% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 17 |
16º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parndorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
SPG
3 - 1
PAR
5%
11%
85%
|
31 | 8 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
USV
1 - 1
PAR
12%
15%
73%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
PAR
3 - 1
89%
8%
3%
|
32 | 13 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2023 |
PAR
0 - 5
DRA
39%
24%
37%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
NEU
2 - 0
PAR
56%
20%
24%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
St. Margarethen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
STM
2 - 1
LEI
24%
21%
55%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
RIT
2 - 0
STM
81%
12%
7%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
STM
2 - 3
ASV
10%
16%
73%
|
20 | 41 | 21 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2023 |
SCH
2 - 7
STM
65%
19%
16%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | +2 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
STM
1 - 1
SOP
19%
18%
64%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |