Parma U19 vs Virtus Entella U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
15.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
69
1º
11º
2º
52
1º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
68% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 38 |
7º
|
68% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 31 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
26 | 26 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
PAR
2 - 1
PAD
77%
15%
8%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
CIT
1 - 2
PAR
16%
20%
64%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
PAR
2 - 2
MOD
73%
15%
12%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
ABL
1 - 2
PAR
22%
21%
57%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
PAR
3 - 0
PRO
75%
15%
10%
|
43 | 23 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Entella U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
SUD
2 - 2
VIR
33%
22%
45%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
VIR
1 - 1
VIC
41%
24%
36%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
VIR
1 - 0
PAD
61%
21%
18%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
PRO
1 - 1
VIR
23%
21%
56%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
VIR
3 - 3
MOD
65%
18%
16%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |