Lega Primavera U19 Round 16

Parma U19 vs Modena U19 analysis

Parma U19 Modena U19
37 ELO 17
-14.7% Tilt -12.8%
5859º General ELO ranking 10345º
209º Country ELO ranking 362º
ELO win probability
77%
Parma U19
15.8%
Draw
7.2%
Modena U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77%
Win probability
Parma U19
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
7.2%
Win probability
Modena U19
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Parma U19
-21%
+116%
Modena U19

ELO progression

Parma U19
Modena U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Parma U19
Parma U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Jan. 2011
FIO
Fiorentina U19
1 - 1
Parma U19
PAR
62%
21%
17%
37 40 3 0
22 Jan. 2011
PAR
Parma U19
3 - 2
Juventus U19
JUV
27%
24%
50%
35 42 7 +2
15 Jan. 2011
CES
Cesena U19
1 - 3
Parma U19
PAR
52%
24%
24%
34 35 1 +1
27 Nov. 2010
LIV
Livorno U19
0 - 0
Parma U19
PAR
37%
26%
37%
34 29 5 0
20 Nov. 2010
PAR
Parma U19
1 - 1
Sassuolo U19
SAS
52%
24%
24%
34 29 5 0

Matches

Modena U19
Modena U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Jan. 2011
MOD
Modena U19
1 - 3
Empoli U19
EMP
17%
23%
60%
17 41 24 0
22 Jan. 2011
PCZ
Piacenza U19
1 - 1
Modena U19
MOD
75%
16%
9%
17 26 9 0
15 Jan. 2011
SAM
Sampdoria U19
3 - 0
Modena U19
MOD
81%
13%
6%
17 37 20 0
27 Nov. 2010
BOL
Bologna U19
5 - 0
Modena U19
MOD
73%
17%
10%
18 28 10 -1
20 Nov. 2010
MOD
Modena U19
1 - 1
Novara U19
NOV
16%
21%
63%
16 32 16 +2