Parma U18 vs Genoa U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
37.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
5º
14º
9º
53
3º
15º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 62 |
2º
|
58.5% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
58.5% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 59 |
4º
|
89.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
53 | 54 |
5º
|
93.5% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 53 |
6º
|
54.5% | |
|
9º
|
49 | 52 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 51 |
8º
|
46% | |
|
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
9º
|
31% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 49 |
10º
|
85.5% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 35 |
12º
|
30.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
31.5% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
78.5% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
9 | 9 |
17º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2023 |
TOR
3 - 4
PAR
63%
19%
18%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
PAR
1 - 4
ASR
37%
22%
41%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
ATA
1 - 1
PAR
56%
20%
23%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
PAR
1 - 2
INT
21%
20%
60%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2023 |
HEL
0 - 1
PAR
57%
20%
23%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Genoa U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2023 |
GEN
4 - 1
ASR
30%
22%
48%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
ATA
4 - 2
GEN
51%
20%
29%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
GEN
4 - 5
BOL
35%
21%
43%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
EMP
4 - 2
GEN
42%
22%
36%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
GEN
1 - 5
EMP
59%
20%
21%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -1 |