Parma vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.4%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.6%
3-0
11%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
8.3%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2016 |
ASG
2 - 1
PAR
11%
21%
68%
|
76 | 50 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
SAM
0 - 2
PAR
8%
19%
74%
|
76 | 37 | 39 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
PAR
3 - 0
VIN
82%
14%
4%
|
76 | 27 | 49 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
RAV
2 - 4
PAR
6%
17%
76%
|
76 | 34 | 42 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
PAR
2 - 1
DEL
80%
15%
5%
|
76 | 41 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 4
SSS
15%
20%
65%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
SSS
1 - 2
CHI
79%
15%
6%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
OLY
3 - 5
SSS
14%
20%
66%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
REC
1 - 3
SSS
16%
22%
63%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
SSS
2 - 1
JES
80%
14%
6%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | 0 |