Parma vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.2%
+4
1.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
13%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.2%
+2
15.7%
1-0
22.2%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
29.3%
31.6%
Draw
0-0
19%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.1%
0
31.6%
15.5%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1987 |
VIC
2 - 0
PAR
50%
30%
21%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1987 |
PAR
2 - 0
BOL
47%
32%
21%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1987 |
CAT
0 - 0
PAR
43%
31%
25%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1987 |
LEC
1 - 0
PAR
51%
29%
20%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1987 |
PAR
0 - 0
ACM
20%
26%
54%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1987 |
SSS
1 - 2
PES
41%
32%
28%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1987 |
LAZ
0 - 0
SSS
68%
22%
10%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1987 |
SSS
2 - 0
USC
37%
34%
29%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +2 |
| 12 Apr. 1987 |
ARZ
1 - 0
SSS
54%
30%
16%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1987 |
SSS
2 - 1
LEC
40%
33%
27%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |