Parma vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
23.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1960 |
PAR
3 - 0
BRE
49%
26%
25%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1960 |
NOV
1 - 0
PAR
62%
21%
17%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 1960 |
COM
1 - 0
PAR
66%
19%
14%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1960 |
PAR
1 - 2
TRI
41%
27%
32%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 1960 |
ASS
1 - 0
PAR
57%
23%
21%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1960 |
SSS
0 - 0
MES
48%
26%
25%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1960 |
SSS
1 - 1
PAL
45%
28%
28%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1960 |
PRO
2 - 1
SSS
57%
23%
21%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1960 |
SSS
0 - 0
GEN
44%
27%
30%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1960 |
USF
1 - 1
SSS
56%
23%
21%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |