Parma vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.9%
11.9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2014 |
TOR
1 - 1
PAR
41%
25%
34%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
PAR
2 - 0
SAM
59%
23%
18%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
CAG
1 - 0
PAR
36%
25%
38%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
PAR
0 - 2
INT
40%
26%
35%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
BOL
1 - 1
PAR
31%
26%
43%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2014 |
LIV
0 - 1
FIO
24%
26%
51%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
UDI
5 - 3
LIV
66%
21%
13%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
LIV
0 - 2
LAZ
28%
26%
47%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
ACM
3 - 0
LIV
76%
16%
8%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
LIV
2 - 4
CHI
42%
27%
32%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |