Parma vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.9%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
21.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
LIV
2 - 0
PAR
39%
26%
36%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2005 |
PAR
1 - 1
MES
61%
23%
17%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
FIO
4 - 1
PAR
47%
25%
28%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
PAR
1 - 1
TRE
74%
17%
8%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
ASC
3 - 1
PAR
21%
25%
55%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
LEC
0 - 2
MES
59%
22%
19%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2005 |
PAL
3 - 0
LEC
54%
23%
23%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
LEC
0 - 3
JUV
17%
24%
59%
|
79 | 93 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
REG
2 - 0
LEC
40%
26%
34%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
LEC
3 - 0
CAG
50%
23%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |