Parma vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25%
30.2%
Draw
0-0
13.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.2%
25.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 1984 |
CAM
3 - 1
PAR
54%
29%
17%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1984 |
PAR
0 - 0
CAG
45%
30%
26%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 1984 |
PAR
0 - 1
EMP
47%
29%
25%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 1984 |
PAD
1 - 1
PAR
62%
23%
15%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1984 |
PAR
0 - 0
GEN
41%
29%
30%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 1984 |
LEC
0 - 0
BOL
53%
29%
19%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1984 |
PAD
1 - 1
LEC
55%
26%
19%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1984 |
LEC
3 - 1
GEN
44%
29%
27%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 1984 |
PES
1 - 1
LEC
53%
27%
20%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1984 |
ARZ
0 - 0
LEC
46%
29%
24%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |