Parma vs Pavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.8%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
10.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1954 |
MOD
2 - 1
PAR
29%
24%
47%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1954 |
PAR
2 - 1
VER
76%
15%
10%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1954 |
PAR
0 - 0
UNI
66%
18%
16%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1954 |
BRE
2 - 1
PAR
28%
25%
48%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1954 |
PAR
2 - 2
COM
64%
19%
17%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1954 |
PAV
4 - 1
TAR
69%
16%
15%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1954 |
PAV
4 - 1
SAL
61%
21%
18%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1954 |
COM
1 - 1
PAV
68%
19%
13%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1954 |
PAD
2 - 1
PAV
63%
21%
17%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1954 |
PAV
2 - 0
UNI
46%
24%
30%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | +1 |