PSG vs Valenciennes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
13.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
PSG
0 - 0
SOC
52%
25%
24%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2007 |
LIL
1 - 0
PSG
57%
25%
18%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
PSG
1 - 0
FCG
78%
15%
7%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2007 |
PSG
1 - 2
VAL
64%
21%
15%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2007 |
PSG
3 - 0
NÎM
79%
14%
6%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
REN
1 - 0
VAL
61%
21%
17%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2007 |
VAL
1 - 1
LMU
33%
29%
39%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2007 |
ROM
1 - 2
VAL
24%
24%
52%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2007 |
PSG
1 - 2
VAL
64%
21%
15%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2007 |
VAL
2 - 1
CAE
31%
27%
43%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |