PSG vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.6%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.5%
4.9%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
REI
1 - 1
PSG
13%
21%
66%
|
91 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2015 |
PSG
2 - 0
MFF
75%
16%
9%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2015 |
PSG
2 - 2
GIR
74%
17%
10%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
MON
0 - 3
PSG
25%
26%
50%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2015 |
MPL
0 - 1
PSG
16%
22%
61%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
GUI
2 - 1
GAZ
64%
22%
13%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
NIC
0 - 1
GUI
50%
26%
23%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2015 |
GUI
2 - 0
MAR
30%
26%
45%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
BAS
3 - 0
GUI
52%
25%
23%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
GUI
0 - 1
LYO
24%
24%
52%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | -1 |