Parham vs SAP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
26.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-69%
-50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
EGF
1 - 3
PAR
47%
23%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2012 |
PAR
3 - 3
HOP
47%
23%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
SEA
1 - 3
PAR
45%
23%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2011 |
PAR
3 - 1
ORO
49%
23%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
SAP
0 - 2
PAR
49%
22%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
SAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
SAP
0 - 3
WIL
50%
23%
28%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2012 |
HOP
4 - 1
SAP
49%
23%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2011 |
PBU
3 - 2
SAP
44%
23%
33%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
EGF
0 - 1
SAP
51%
22%
27%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +2 |
| 21 Dec. 2011 |
WIL
2 - 0
SAP
43%
23%
34%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |