Parham vs SAP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.8%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
29.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-64%
-49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2010 |
PAR
3 - 1
PTI
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2010 |
VLI
2 - 3
PAR
43%
25%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2009 |
HOP
1 - 2
PAR
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
ALL
1 - 3
PAR
48%
24%
29%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
PAR
0 - 2
BAS
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
SAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2010 |
ORO
0 - 2
SAP
52%
21%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2010 |
WIL
0 - 2
SAP
42%
23%
35%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2009 |
SAP
1 - 1
PTI
49%
23%
28%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2009 |
SAP
2 - 3
HOP
45%
23%
32%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
SAP
2 - 4
ALL
49%
24%
27%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |