Parets vs Berga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.6%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
21%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
MAT
1 - 0
PAR
17%
20%
64%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
PAR
3 - 0
FRA
52%
22%
26%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
PAR
0 - 1
TRO
83%
12%
5%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
GIR
1 - 1
PAR
5%
13%
83%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
PAR
2 - 0
OAR
76%
15%
9%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Berga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
BER
4 - 0
TRO
80%
13%
7%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
GIR
0 - 2
BER
15%
21%
64%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
BER
4 - 1
OAR
60%
20%
20%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | +2 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
CFR
1 - 0
BER
23%
24%
54%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | -2 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
BER
4 - 3
SAL
55%
22%
23%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | +1 |